Alberta Government Doesn't Want to Steal Guns

Recently the news has been filled with the jubilant announcement from Tyler Shandro that Alberta would not assist the federal government in the gun grab.  This news has been met with joy and a dangerous amount of complacency from the gun community.  The prevailing thought is Alberta is now a safe haven for gun owners and it is time to break out the ol' M305 for hunting trips again.

This is great news but the battle is far from won.  Naturally, with my background as an analyst, I began to ponder how the government could get past this setback aside from the obvious and draconian measures such as calling in the army.  I asked questions to subject matter experts in policing to help brainstorm what course of action the Trudeau regime can take, now that the RCMP have been closed to them.

But how could they do the gun thefts without the RCMP?

Firstly the RCMP "rental" agreement states that the province can direct the RCMP to not enforce certain laws.  That is true.  But the bulk of our population is not found in RCMP controlled areas; they are in the cities.  Calgary Police have already stated they are in favor of enforcing the ban.  Unlike the RCMP, they have the discretion to cooperate enforcing the Crime Minister's petty ban.  Also, the Calgary Police (and Edmonton and Camrose and so on...) are not police just inside their own municipality, they are considered police officers for all of Alberta.  It is legal for a Calgary Police member to operate in High River or an Edmonton member to operate in Sherwood Park.  It may be frowned upon, but it is legal.  This is a potential work around and with virtue signaling fart suckers like Gondek or Sohi in charge of 2 of the most well equipped, powerful forces in Alberta, the odds don't look good for provincial resistance.  The CN police have the power to operate for any law enforcment purpose provided it is 1km from a rail line.  Most small towns are built around a rail line.

But I am not suggesting that the municipal police forces are going to be used in lieu of the RCMP.  It is likely that misuse of police resources will result in a funding cut from the province.  All I am suggesting is that, although unlikely, it could be a method of last resort.  So what is most likelty?

The government has never relied on mass arrests except for the FLQ crisis.  Instead, they have consistently made an example out of one person.  Usually this is in the form of a highly publicized arrest (to show the public), or in the case of Rodger Kotanko, a barely publicized execution (to quietly terrify the gun owners).  It stands to reason that after 30 years of engaging in this successful tactic, they would not switch it up now.  If they could continue to engage in terror operations against the gun owning public, that same public could be forced into complying while the province overtly is not.

Using the premise of compliance through terror, it is most likely that a series of high profile people will be targeted for charges (or a Kotanko style execution if no crimes can be proven).  In our legal system, any person can go to a courthouse and lay an "information".  This is an accusation that a crime has been committed.  Then a crown prosecutor (who is not under the control of the province) can proceed with charges.  No police are needed to actually lay a charge.  The Communication and Security Establishment (Canada's version of the NSA) routinely spies on Canadians and could quickly determine if someone had a harmless rogue Mini-14 squirreled away and lay that information themselves.

Federal level policing organizations such as the National Weapons Enforcement Support Team (NWEST) exist solely to take guns away. They are also under the command of Ottawa; not any individual province. Right now they concentrate on illegal, smuggled guns...an honorable task... but they could turn their attention to a few good targets for a CBC broadcasted raid at the command of the Trudeau Regime.

Moving forward, we have to expect that terror will be leveled at the gun community.  The dream of mass door to door confiscation may be dead but the insidious evil that is the Trudeau Regime will not simply shrug and give up.  Now is the time to press our advantage.  Contribute to a gun organization of your choice and keep up the fight.

The Long Gun Registry Ressurected

For years we, in the gun community, knew that the C-71 Shadow Registry would one day appear.   That day is rapidly approaching.  On May 18th, 2022 the future purchase of firearms will be tracked and recorded.  For those who have never read a history book, registration ALWAYS leads to confiscation.

C-71 was a law passed years ago by Crime Minister Trudeau to require 2 things:

1) That all business sales be recorded with the identity of the purchaser

2) All private sales require a transfer authorization number from the registrar of firearms.

Through an inefficient network of transfer numbers leading back to the business point of sale, all guns will eventually be captured in this new registry.

You need to understand 2 critical points.

Firstly, all the guns you own before the registry are still legal.  They do not need to be registered.  They will only end up in this system if you sell or buy after the 18th.  If you want something; you have only days to buy it.

Secondly, this is not actually about what type of guns you own.  This is about how many you own.  If you buy 6 and sell 2 (under this system), the expectation is you will have 4 guns.  If the CFO inspects your storage (permitted under the firearms act) and the numbers don't match up, you could be in a lot of trouble.   This is especially true if the numbers are less than expected.  

If you have had your license prior to this system, a larger number is expected.  But that number will be corrected should an inspection take place.

What should you do?

1) If there is something you want, buy it right now.  Do not hesitate; get it.

2) If you are inspected by the CFO and have guns from pre-C71 your total number will be corrected.  You will be trapped in the system.  I strongly suggest storing your one or two favorite non-restricted guns away from the rest to protect them from government scrutiny and eventual seizure.

Post Election Comments

Justin won this election because of gun control.  I know it and he knows it.  As despair rises there will be an uptake in crime.  Instead of putting the blame where it belongs – failed economic policy leading to dire inflation… he will blame guns like he always does.  He will want to use his winning tactic to try for that elusive majority.

For those who are biting their nails about the guns, Trudeau's immediate goal will not be guns.  Trudeau will try with another censorship bill.  With Covid lockdowns and meetings in person banned, he needs to control the internet to close the last avenue for getting non-government sanctioned propaganda.  He needs to do this to hide news about the collapsing economy and run-away inflation.

In 12-14 months time, expect more OICs and gun laws with an election being called in 18 months as he seeks to try again in gaining absolute, despotic power.  The 14 month timing will be just right to keep this in the news cycle and re-use this non-issue again.

Most people are stupid.  All the Canadians that voted for Trudeau and his corruption proved that.  They don’t care to investigate or think critically so if the state controlled media is telling them to think a certain way, they absolutely will.

I maintain that the secret documents that lead to the 2020 OIC (the ones that the liberals classified as secret under the Canada Evidence Act) contain planned enforcement actions post April 2022.  Paranoid?  Consider this.  In the late 90s a gunsmith named Bruce Montague decided to rebel against the firearms act that criminalized possession of all firearms (you read that right) and set up a confiscation registry.  Lots of people did not comply, but Montague was selected as the example as they publicly destroyed his life and jailed him for his “crimes” with no victims.  If Montague had decided to be a child molester rather than opposing the state, he would of got a far more lenient punishment.

I think that old liberal trick is going to be used again.  To those with AR-15s my advice is to comply.  Get rid of them before the April date.  They are going to pick someone interesting that will get the CBC a lot of views, to crack down on.  Don’t let it be you.  Don’t let there be a registration trail that will convince a judge to let the ERT team toss in flashbangs in the middle of the night.  

My advice is to get rid of your registered AR-15s.  Read what I am NOT writing; read it carefully.

To lose a war, you allow the enemy to pick the time and place to fight.  By being on the defensive for so many years, it is not a surprise to see us losing.  Modern military doctrine holds that the defense is a temporary state to allow the transition back into offensive operations.  As a community we have lost sight of that.  I am fond of the CCFR for not being on the defensive and having information campaigns to counter CBC hysteria, lies and black propaganda.

What should you do now?

-Support the CCFR.  They are our only outlet to counter biased, black propaganda.

-Support small, in person gun businesses.  The internet is easy but your biggest asset in the days to come is networking with like minded people.  As the owner of Specter Arms, I have and will actually write back to answer questions, provide unconventional help, meet you face to face for sales, provide advice and a sympathetic ear.  My connections and industry knowledge allow me to link you up with the right people when I can’t help directly.

-C-71 is not in force… if there is a gun you want, buy it now while there is no shadow registry.  Stay non-restricted.  You will not regret having a gun, when you need it.

The Carbon Tax In the Supreme Court: What it means.

The Alberta government, joined by Sask and Ontario recently launched a court challenge attacking the legality of Chairman Trudeau’s federal carbon tax.

You see, according to the Canadian Constitution, certain powers are delegated to the provinces.  Resources, their distribution and taxation are provincial matters while defense and criminal law are federal. (just to name a few)

The supreme court agreed that resources are the domain of the provinces but ruled in favor of the federal carbon tax agreeing that the government’s declaration of a “climate change emergency” gave them the right to override the legal jurisdictions laid out in the Constitution.

That should scare everyone.

Healthcare is also under the provincial jurisdiction.  Under the Covid lockdowns, some places got it really bad like Manitoba declaring what people can and can not buy.  Or even riot police enforcing curfews and home invasion-inspections in Quebec.  

Some places got it light like Alberta.  

There are differences in Covid measures because healthcare is a provincial matter.

No longer.

Despite my personal opinion, Covid is considered a major emergency.  The seemingly unrelated carbon tax challenge has paved the way for the federal government to take direct control of government quarantines including movement, private purchases and rationing.  They will determine what people live and die by choosing essential workers.  As a firearms professional, I know what list Trudeau is putting me in..

What Is on The Ban List

SUMMARY

This document attempts to answer, in part, the question, “What is on the Liberal Ban List”.
The list is being kept a secret but several clues, rumors and inductive reasoning illuminates some of this list.  The list that I compiled, IS NOT A COMPLETE LIST.  Bill Blair is being deliberately sneaky and is not releasing the complete list for his own nefarious reasons.

Unlike everyone else pondering lists on the internet, I have included my methodology and reasoning.

Firstly, I have posted the list.  Most people are not interested in why I came up with what I did so I have spared them from a long read.  For those interested in hearing more, they can read on.


THE INCOMPLETE LIST

Will Be Banned:
-Vz58 family
-M305 family
-Ar15
-Mini-xx family
-SKS rifles
-CX4
-Type 97
-Tavor
-Swiss Arms

High Likelihood of Being Banned
-MP40 (9mm)
-XCR
-ACR
-AR10s
-AR102 variants (BCL102, Stag 102 Troy 102)

Moderate Likelyhood of Being Banned
-DA50**
-Lynx
-BRS-99



METHODOLGY

Everyone wants to know what is on the Liberal ban list.
Several people claim to have privileged knowledge of this list but respond with vague fear inducing answers, unwilling to give details, sources or methods.
For all we know, they could be pulling information out of their asses for a chance in the internet spotlight.

What we can do is derive reasonable hypothesis based on verifiable facts and rational premises.



THE FACTS

Let's start with what we know and determine to be factually correct.

In an interview done by the CCFR with the thief-chief Bill Blair have laid out the methodology he used to select items for his ban list.  He mentioned the Moncton shooter and the Mosque shooter indicating he is looking at past shooting crimes. He also claims to have input from police as to what they want banned.

Combining this information and Trudeau's statements on Polytechnic we start off with the following list: VZ58 family, m305 family, AR-15, Mini-xx family, SKS rifles, CX4, G3 and variants*.

I deliberately left out the 30-30 used on parliament hill because of Blair's reaction when it was brought up; I am certain it is not on the list.

Blair mentioned he consulted with the police. We know the RCMP in particular have a hate on for some guns as evidenced by documents obtained by FOIP requests.
SKS, Type 97, Tavor, AR-15, Sten guns*, Sterling and semi auto reproductions of assault rifles and submachine  guns.
We also know that C-71 removed parliamentary oversight so we can add the Swiss Arms
"550" type rifles.

We need to explore one of these points, the so called copies of assault rifles and submachine guns.
The RCMP have been very aggressive prohibiting look alikes from the GSG-5 to the Blaze-47. A few have slipped through the cracks: GSG-15, MP44, MP40 (9mm), MP40 (22lr), GSG-16.

All of the above are imported by a company owned by a former RCMP officer.
Outside of that company the ISSC mk22 also gets a pass despite looking exactly like the prohibited-classified Mk16 SCAR.  FYI, the GSG-15 is the same gun as the ISSC mk22 but without the SCAR buttstock.

Traditionally, advisers to the Liberals have gone through great lengths to avoid banning 22s in any form so despite falling into the “look-alike” category mentioned in RCMP documents, the bulk of these firearms will be ignored.
What is likely to be on the list (but not certain) is the MP40 in 9mm.


RUMORS

Now that the facts have been established we can discuss rumors. There are hundreds of rumors but I will only address the ones that are either prolific or have been stated by people of influence in the firearm community.

Rumor 1: After market stocks and mag conversion kits will be made illegal to import but not illegal to possess or manufacture.
Response: F2. This is possible by OIC although it would be a CBSA OIC not a firearms one. Industry in Canada would quickly fill this gap.  Some Canadian companies already specialize in this type of work.

Rumor 2: Night vision will be banned
Response: F5. Garbage. NV is used more often by non gun owners than gun owners. With General Starlight out of Ontario providing these items, the best they could do is ban imports to choke off consumer grade models.  The idea of adding it as an endorsement to a PAL is not supported by law.  The bulk of NV is held by non PAL holders and forcing them to get firearm certified would work against the Liberal disarmament agenda.

Rumor 3: There are 200 line items on the ban list.
Response: C6. The accuracy and validity of this information can not be judged.  One comment: when a ban is done (as in the past) it must capture all the manufacturers and variants. The Swiss arms takes up 11 line items.  Getting to 200 is not as hard as you might think.  Some bad news; if this '200' number is correct, even considering all the lines that my list takes up, there is still room for another 50 or so firearms that I have missed.

Rumor 4: It is a semi auto ban.
Response: F5. No it isn’t. That can not be done with OIC. OIC can only name specifics. Generalizations are held by the criminal code.  They can change the law later but right now Blair says they will proceed via OIC. If that does not convince you, consider that there were 1.2 million registered semi auto long guns on the old long gun registry (ended in 2012). Blair claims they will take 250,000 to 275,000 guns 'off the street'.
Just looking at the numbers, a grade 2 student can tell you that it's not all semi autos.

Rumor 5: Pinned magazines will remain legal but the importation or manufacture of large bodied mags (that could be unpinned) will not be allowed.
Response: F3. Plausible. Again, it would be an import OIC not a firearms one but workable and legal.

Rumor 6: Some bolt action rifles are on the list.
Response: F4. I don't see why not but the optics would be terrible depending on what they are talking about.  Anything other than 50BMG would shatter the narrative that this is only for 'assault rifles'. I rate this as unlikely outside of 50BMG.

Rumor 7: They will use the New Zealand list.
Response: F5. Flat out no. Examining this history of Canadian gun bans and attempted gun bans shows a pattern that the NZ list does not fit.  The claim that Trudeau wants to out virtue-signal Arden has no analytical basis and shows a distinct lack of understanding of The Canadian situation.  This is the stupidest of the rumors.

Rumor 8: ACR, Tavor, XCR and Garand are on the list.
Response: C2.  This could easily be a A2 statement if there was corroborating evidence for the ACR, XCR and Garand.  I regard this a likely (but not certain)


INDUCTIVE REASONING

AR102 designs and AR10s look and operate almost exactly like AR15s.  With all the heavy advertising and attempts to duplicate the AR102 by multiple manufacturers makes this a design that has likely caught the attention of the gun grabbers.

The Lynx is a semi-auto 50BMG bullpup.  It sounds scary, looks good for CBC viewers, and the relative few that are in Canada make them easy pickings.

The BRS-99 (Polish Uzi) first came into Canada years ago.  I had a chance to examine the insides of some of the first to come into country and found that it was a converted automatic with the auto sear still intact.  This was probably a one-off anomaly that the police overlooked because the guns were restricted and traceable.  Now, with non-restricted barrel kits, it is easy to move them back between categories.  If we apply the Hasselwander case (1993) pertaining to ease of conversion and the fact that these are easy to de-register, it is not a stretch to have these as a desirable firearm to ban.  Like the Swiss Arms "550 pattern" rifles, they might just want the whole batch rather then to sort out the converteds from the non.


CONCLUSION

Don’t despair.  By default these guns will go to the mystery 12(9) class in C-71.  Getting them out of your hands will take time which is something minority governments tend not to have.  An early stage ban can be reversed by a new government.

When the official list comes out study it.  Print it out.  Keep it in your gun safe and car.  There will be a lot of guns NOT on the list and having the banned list could help prevent an unnecessary conflict with law enforcement.

Comply with the bans.  Double lock everything left over.  They can not search everyone so they will rely on terror and suffering to stomp on a few gun owners publicly.  They will do this to create fear so others do not resist.  Don’t be one of those gun owners; your AR-15 is not worth it.

Keep your parts and bits:  BCGs, barrels, magazines etc.  They retain value still.



Good luck


* These guns are already prohibited
** The DA50 is actually an upper that fits on a AR-15 lower so is not considered a firearm on its own.  I debated adding this or not.

Declaration of War

I’d like to address the open declaration of war against gun owners by the race-baiting, blackface wearing, man child posing as the prime minister.
I have been asked what this means and unfortunately I can not tell you exactly.  His statement was vague.
There are several possibilities of what his words can mean.  As time goes on, I hope to get a more accurate picture of what his ill-targeted intent actually is.

The most likely scenario is a ban by OIC.  Easy OICs have already been established by the passing of C-71.  They will target AR-15s and some big firearm names.  Some of these firearms will be bought back like he says, but costs will quickly spiral out of control forcing them to put the bulk of their bans in the Mystery 12(9) class.  Storage regulations can be changed by OIC to allow lower governments a say in storage but this will be challenged in court and I expect it to be defeated.
OICs require no parliamentary debate.  They are easy and the limited attack on gun owners and our previous pattern of “taking it” will ensure their agenda advances without resistance.

The most dangerous scenario is a legal change.  If they attack by OIC, gun manufacturers can adapt with new designs just like they have in the past.  If they change the law to ban all magazine fed semi-autos, the gun industry and our sport will never recover.  People taking up hunting is down but people taking up target, sport and action shooting is way up.  It is the later groups that will be criminalized.  They proved they can make changes with C-71 with no repercussions.

More information is needed to determine what path they will take.

What Will The Shiny Pony Do?

I have no illusions about who is going to win the next federal election.  It will be Justin Trudeau - The Shiny Pony.  All fancy hair and no substance.

Liberals are known as the architects of the destruction of self-reliance, moral values and traditional society.  Their creative brain power is unmatched in these areas and I can’t even start to guess what they plan to do.

But I do know they will do something about guns.

I have avoided writing this blog entry for months (hence the huge gap between writings).  I wanted to carefully evaluate The Shiny Pony’s options and present them as competing hypothesis.

1) Handgun Ban.

For all intents and purposes, all handguns are registered.  As an election promise, the Evil Paul Martin proposed a handgun ban as his election promise.  The chance of this succeeding is guaranteed.  (Yes I know there will be smuggled handguns but these are statistically insignificant).

2) Move Semi-Autos to Restricted

This would be less palatable to the population then a handgun ban as many high end hunting guns are semi-auto such as the BAR or collectables such as the Garand.  According to the old registry data, the Garand is the most popular semi-auto gun in Quebec.  As much as I fear this, I think it is the least likely of the hypothesis I propose.

3) New Orders in Council

This does not require any legal changes or votes in the house of commons.  Through an Order in Council (OIC), they can move many evil looking guns into restricted and prohibited classes.  They would almost certainly pick VZ58s, Tavors, XCRs and JR Carbines to move to restricted.  Ironically I predict that the Mini-14 and the CX4 (both used in Canadian school shootings) would be left alone.  I don’t think they would name any gun as prohibited due to the outcry from the Swiss Arms fiasco; even non-gun owners considered that to be an unfair, “dick move” by the RCMP.  Regardless of what guns they move to Restricted, the decision will be based on looks alone and not capability.  (My pump action shotgun (when loaded with 00 buck) can fire 54 projectiles down range before being reloaded and can cut a man in half.  My AR15 can fire 5 projectiles down range before being reloaded and has been shown to be highly ineffective in battlezones such as Mogadishu.)

4) Stop PAL Issuance For Restricted Firearms

It would not piss anyone off as people with the Restricted endorsement would not be affected.  It would only stop new people from getting into handguns.  This is like a handgun ban but spaced out over the long term. It would be acceptable to the Canadian public because no one is really getting screwed.  If you didn’t have and handgun before and now you still can’t have one, has anything really been taken away from you?  The truth is Canadians fear handguns the same way Americans fear rifles.

5) Increase Fees for License Renewal

The Liberals are the Party of the rich and privileged and even Nazi elites were still allowed to own personal firearms.  Making a staggeringly huge fee to renew your license will drive the undesirable poor people away from guns.  According to Liberal philosophy, people are victims of their circumstances and have no free will.  In their mind, denying the poor access to potential weapons will decrease the lethality of the crimes that they are forced to commit.

I think these are all options that are politically viable.  What do you think?  What will he do?

Inherited Arrogance

Liberals seem to think that because Justin Trudeau carries the last name of Canada’s greatest supervillian that he will somehow compare.  It is the ancient conceit of hereditary entitlement.  A king is a king because his father was the king before him.  Much like the days of old, Justin Trudeau holds this arrogant conceit of entitlement.

To look at him does not evoke the same sense of respect as his father.  Say what you will, Trudeau Sr was well composed with a sharp command presence.  I certainly do not agree with his party or politics but I can not deny he was a strong leader.  His son, on the other hand, looks like a hash smoking hipster.  I daresay his success in politics thus far comes from his last name and not any real skill.  Hell, its been proven that with the last name of a former prime minister you can get undeserved positions in the media as well as politics.

I suspect he will certainly become the next leader of the Liberal Party.  They hope that Justin will somehow come in and heroically rescue the party from the trashbin of irrelevance.  It is a fantasy played in our culture’s stories over and over again; it must strike a chord of hope.  Justin Trudeau, the Luke Skywalker of Canada,  coming to destroy the “death star” of fiscal responsibility and personal empowerment – very un-Liberal and therefore very un-Canadian values.

Justin Trudeau will be a stunning failure who will far short of his father’s dark legacy.  Heredity does not make a leader.  For that, I am glad.