It was Inevitable: A Liberal Inflicted Woe

 So the inevitable has happened.

Strained gun businesses have reached the breaking point.  Excessive regulations, bans destroying product lines and rampant inflation ruining the import power of the Canadian dollar are all to blame.  And, of course, these things can be attributed squarely and directly on failed economic and safety policy by ideological idiots.

2 firearm related businesses folded in Alberta in the last 14 days.  One is a small hobby sized business selling accessories and the other is a medium sized one with employees and a storefront.

I always pay attention to what other businesses are doing.  This weeks survivors (including myself) are struggling.  They are offering sale after sale to keep cash flowing taking often an unsustainable 2 to 5 percent profit.  Even with sales, no one is buying.  People are starved for cash as their food and mortgage bills have exploded; they can't buy guns.  

The industry is in dire shape.  These last 2 weeks combined with the other gun business failures over the last year show, very clearly, that the collapse has begun. 

Now Is The Time To Panic

With even MSN reporting that “Coronavirus will bankrupt more people than it kills and that’s the real emergency” we can’t ignore the economic disaster waiting to smash the economy and create hyperinflation.  A tsunami of hunger, crime and despair are about to take hold.

And don’t count on the government to help you; the immediate go-to for socialists is always price controls which like in Zimbabwe and Venezuela, simply stops people from producing these goods.   And like every socialist nation before, they need to come for your guns before it gets bad – In Canada, by the recent affirmation of disarmament by the Prime Minister, that time has come.
Everyone reading this document was around for the 2008 Financial Crisis.  What you may not know is we were 3 hours away from a total meltdown.  Only quantitative easing by the USA (printing more money) pushed the crisis back to a yet undetermined date.  The hiccup that was the toilet paper riots that started the spring of 2020 was a small fraction of what could have been as REAL scarcity took hold.

You would think that 2008 would of been a wake up call?  Nope.  The average person went back to mindless episodes of American Idol… if they even put down their bottle of Coke and Cheetos to notice at all.

2008 should of seen a rise in survivialists, instead we continued to be mocked and were portrayed as knuckle dragging villains in multiple TV shows.  The 2020 Covid incident  saw some people wake up.  Gun sales saw an uptick and people who normally would not buy guns tried to (to their dismay they learned how unforgiving and strict our gun control laws are).

So some people get it, but as a ratio of prepatory purchases versus our population, we at Specter Arms feel that really, the average person is once again not taking this seriously.  For a non-issue virus, I can understand the lackluster action but the economic fall that all experts agree is coming next?  Willful ignorance.

As much as I value human life perhaps these people need to suffer for it is usually those people who have lead our society down the ruinous path of leftism and statism.

The people in power know this is coming.  Although their top priority is gun bans, the Covid-19 issue gave them a delightful chance to consolidate power by destroying our economy efficiently.  Although it seems counter-intuitive, draconian measures are comforting the sheep and the Liberals are gaining support from those useful idiots.  The Liberals could form a majority government if an election was held today.  Measures such as a ban on protests and free speech are getting a pass because of “the virus”.  Areas of national sovereignty being ceded to unelected world governing bodies such as UNICEF, UNESCO, and the WHO allowing them to make un-appealable decisions about our lives. 

But their opportunism has created an exploitable flaw in their plan – gun bans must always come BEFORE the economy gets crashed.  Every nation that has been successfully destroyed by leftists has done this first.  By maximizing the opportunity of the Covid crisis to advance their goals, there is an exploitable flaw in the plan that has worked for decades to subjugate nations; there is a final chance for the new survivialist to prepare.

If you have read this far, you the reader, are taking this seriously.  Perhaps enough to share with your unprepared friends.  Perhaps you just woke to the threat. 

Yes, now is the time to panic for the window of time needed to prepare is almost closed.  Multiple levels of distribution and retail are feeling the pinch from a poor exchange rate.  Prices are rising in what I can only describe as quick inflation.  Specter Arms has held the line longer than most and we still are.  Don’t wait; we can’t hold out forever and neither can you.

What Is on The Ban List

SUMMARY

This document attempts to answer, in part, the question, “What is on the Liberal Ban List”.
The list is being kept a secret but several clues, rumors and inductive reasoning illuminates some of this list.  The list that I compiled, IS NOT A COMPLETE LIST.  Bill Blair is being deliberately sneaky and is not releasing the complete list for his own nefarious reasons.

Unlike everyone else pondering lists on the internet, I have included my methodology and reasoning.

Firstly, I have posted the list.  Most people are not interested in why I came up with what I did so I have spared them from a long read.  For those interested in hearing more, they can read on.


THE INCOMPLETE LIST

Will Be Banned:
-Vz58 family
-M305 family
-Ar15
-Mini-xx family
-SKS rifles
-CX4
-Type 97
-Tavor
-Swiss Arms

High Likelihood of Being Banned
-MP40 (9mm)
-XCR
-ACR
-AR10s
-AR102 variants (BCL102, Stag 102 Troy 102)

Moderate Likelyhood of Being Banned
-DA50**
-Lynx
-BRS-99



METHODOLGY

Everyone wants to know what is on the Liberal ban list.
Several people claim to have privileged knowledge of this list but respond with vague fear inducing answers, unwilling to give details, sources or methods.
For all we know, they could be pulling information out of their asses for a chance in the internet spotlight.

What we can do is derive reasonable hypothesis based on verifiable facts and rational premises.



THE FACTS

Let's start with what we know and determine to be factually correct.

In an interview done by the CCFR with the thief-chief Bill Blair have laid out the methodology he used to select items for his ban list.  He mentioned the Moncton shooter and the Mosque shooter indicating he is looking at past shooting crimes. He also claims to have input from police as to what they want banned.

Combining this information and Trudeau's statements on Polytechnic we start off with the following list: VZ58 family, m305 family, AR-15, Mini-xx family, SKS rifles, CX4, G3 and variants*.

I deliberately left out the 30-30 used on parliament hill because of Blair's reaction when it was brought up; I am certain it is not on the list.

Blair mentioned he consulted with the police. We know the RCMP in particular have a hate on for some guns as evidenced by documents obtained by FOIP requests.
SKS, Type 97, Tavor, AR-15, Sten guns*, Sterling and semi auto reproductions of assault rifles and submachine  guns.
We also know that C-71 removed parliamentary oversight so we can add the Swiss Arms
"550" type rifles.

We need to explore one of these points, the so called copies of assault rifles and submachine guns.
The RCMP have been very aggressive prohibiting look alikes from the GSG-5 to the Blaze-47. A few have slipped through the cracks: GSG-15, MP44, MP40 (9mm), MP40 (22lr), GSG-16.

All of the above are imported by a company owned by a former RCMP officer.
Outside of that company the ISSC mk22 also gets a pass despite looking exactly like the prohibited-classified Mk16 SCAR.  FYI, the GSG-15 is the same gun as the ISSC mk22 but without the SCAR buttstock.

Traditionally, advisers to the Liberals have gone through great lengths to avoid banning 22s in any form so despite falling into the “look-alike” category mentioned in RCMP documents, the bulk of these firearms will be ignored.
What is likely to be on the list (but not certain) is the MP40 in 9mm.


RUMORS

Now that the facts have been established we can discuss rumors. There are hundreds of rumors but I will only address the ones that are either prolific or have been stated by people of influence in the firearm community.

Rumor 1: After market stocks and mag conversion kits will be made illegal to import but not illegal to possess or manufacture.
Response: F2. This is possible by OIC although it would be a CBSA OIC not a firearms one. Industry in Canada would quickly fill this gap.  Some Canadian companies already specialize in this type of work.

Rumor 2: Night vision will be banned
Response: F5. Garbage. NV is used more often by non gun owners than gun owners. With General Starlight out of Ontario providing these items, the best they could do is ban imports to choke off consumer grade models.  The idea of adding it as an endorsement to a PAL is not supported by law.  The bulk of NV is held by non PAL holders and forcing them to get firearm certified would work against the Liberal disarmament agenda.

Rumor 3: There are 200 line items on the ban list.
Response: C6. The accuracy and validity of this information can not be judged.  One comment: when a ban is done (as in the past) it must capture all the manufacturers and variants. The Swiss arms takes up 11 line items.  Getting to 200 is not as hard as you might think.  Some bad news; if this '200' number is correct, even considering all the lines that my list takes up, there is still room for another 50 or so firearms that I have missed.

Rumor 4: It is a semi auto ban.
Response: F5. No it isn’t. That can not be done with OIC. OIC can only name specifics. Generalizations are held by the criminal code.  They can change the law later but right now Blair says they will proceed via OIC. If that does not convince you, consider that there were 1.2 million registered semi auto long guns on the old long gun registry (ended in 2012). Blair claims they will take 250,000 to 275,000 guns 'off the street'.
Just looking at the numbers, a grade 2 student can tell you that it's not all semi autos.

Rumor 5: Pinned magazines will remain legal but the importation or manufacture of large bodied mags (that could be unpinned) will not be allowed.
Response: F3. Plausible. Again, it would be an import OIC not a firearms one but workable and legal.

Rumor 6: Some bolt action rifles are on the list.
Response: F4. I don't see why not but the optics would be terrible depending on what they are talking about.  Anything other than 50BMG would shatter the narrative that this is only for 'assault rifles'. I rate this as unlikely outside of 50BMG.

Rumor 7: They will use the New Zealand list.
Response: F5. Flat out no. Examining this history of Canadian gun bans and attempted gun bans shows a pattern that the NZ list does not fit.  The claim that Trudeau wants to out virtue-signal Arden has no analytical basis and shows a distinct lack of understanding of The Canadian situation.  This is the stupidest of the rumors.

Rumor 8: ACR, Tavor, XCR and Garand are on the list.
Response: C2.  This could easily be a A2 statement if there was corroborating evidence for the ACR, XCR and Garand.  I regard this a likely (but not certain)


INDUCTIVE REASONING

AR102 designs and AR10s look and operate almost exactly like AR15s.  With all the heavy advertising and attempts to duplicate the AR102 by multiple manufacturers makes this a design that has likely caught the attention of the gun grabbers.

The Lynx is a semi-auto 50BMG bullpup.  It sounds scary, looks good for CBC viewers, and the relative few that are in Canada make them easy pickings.

The BRS-99 (Polish Uzi) first came into Canada years ago.  I had a chance to examine the insides of some of the first to come into country and found that it was a converted automatic with the auto sear still intact.  This was probably a one-off anomaly that the police overlooked because the guns were restricted and traceable.  Now, with non-restricted barrel kits, it is easy to move them back between categories.  If we apply the Hasselwander case (1993) pertaining to ease of conversion and the fact that these are easy to de-register, it is not a stretch to have these as a desirable firearm to ban.  Like the Swiss Arms "550 pattern" rifles, they might just want the whole batch rather then to sort out the converteds from the non.


CONCLUSION

Don’t despair.  By default these guns will go to the mystery 12(9) class in C-71.  Getting them out of your hands will take time which is something minority governments tend not to have.  An early stage ban can be reversed by a new government.

When the official list comes out study it.  Print it out.  Keep it in your gun safe and car.  There will be a lot of guns NOT on the list and having the banned list could help prevent an unnecessary conflict with law enforcement.

Comply with the bans.  Double lock everything left over.  They can not search everyone so they will rely on terror and suffering to stomp on a few gun owners publicly.  They will do this to create fear so others do not resist.  Don’t be one of those gun owners; your AR-15 is not worth it.

Keep your parts and bits:  BCGs, barrels, magazines etc.  They retain value still.



Good luck


* These guns are already prohibited
** The DA50 is actually an upper that fits on a AR-15 lower so is not considered a firearm on its own.  I debated adding this or not.

Analysis of Potential Actions Against Canadian Firearms Owners

I have refrained from immediately commenting on the Liberal win while I allowed my sense of anger and betrayal to subside allowing logic and clarity to take hold.

You don't need Specter Arms to explain the social aspects of this disaster. I am certain you are being bombarded with those messages.  There is reason to fear but we need to understand the enemy if we want to mount an effective resistance to him. This is where I can lend my voice.

This article was originally twice its size. But it was too long of a read so I cut the part out explaining what you could do and what Specter Arms is doing. The scope of this article will cover a calm dispassionate look at Liberal courses of action  (COA), their likelihood and the supporting arguments for these COA.

We need to examine the Liberal gun banning history specifically the prohibitions of the 1990s, the firearms act, the failed bill S-223 and finally C-71.
These all offer insights into how they think, what they perceive as achievable political objectives and who is advising them.

Firstly Liberal politicians understand nothing about guns except what American TV has shown them. When it comes to writing law, they rely on firearm 'experts' willing to work with them or "consult " as it was described during S-223.
These firearm consultants have a minimal knowledge at best and are often firearms owners described in the firearms community as "fudds". They believe that only their firearms are worth preserving. They want to keep Grandpa's shitty Cooey, their shotguns and bolt action rifles so all proposed laws deliberately avoid these guns.
The firearms act goes through great pains to emphasize 'center fire semi-auto' to exclude Grandpa's Cooey and their bolt action rifles. S-223 proposed a registry and central storage for everything except rimfires and shotguns.
The firearm prohibitions by Order in Council (OIC) never targeted 22 rifles directly (except the Calico) although a few got the ax by the RCMP interpretations of variants.
I feel confident in saying this pattern will continue as it is an unbroken pattern spanning decades; the Liberal consultants will advise to protect their chosen firearms.
-Rimfires will not be targeted
-Manual actions will not be targeted
-Semi auto shotguns are less likely to be targeted

Looking back at the OIC prohibitions we know from Freedom of Information Requests that these guns were picked because they looked scary and were well advertised bringing them to the attention of politicians. Back in the day, they flipped through copies of gun magazines flagging the ones they did not like the look of.
Flip through the pages of Caliber magazine and see the new list of proposed firearms prohibitions.

People point to the RCMP and the Coalition for Gun Control as providing input. Historically the Liberals have openly ignored their suggestions. That is why the Mini-14 has remained non restricted. And believe it or not, they don't like the RCMP either. Allan Rock sought to isolate gun owners and police from each other as they were natural allies typically holding conservative views. A counterpoint to this thought is the recent statement by the Liberals that says that the police should decide what is legal.  This muddies the waters analytically.

C-71 does not provide insight into what they may ban. It only confirms that they are going to ban by grandfathering. This contradicts the more recent Liberal talk of a buy back but it still offers another option should the buy back be prohibitive.
I feel that the buy back will be used only for restricted  firearms that can be immediately captured while C-71's 12(9) class will be used to target non restricted firearms.

The final factor we need to consider is the minority government. Some Liberal proposals require a legislative change. Even with a majority government and moderate changes, C-71 required a huge effort to get passed.
Legislative changes regarding hand gun storage AND changing the firearms classification system are unlikely to pass.



Conclusion: we at Specter Arms see potential 2 COAs.

Most Likely COA - Bans By OIC

C-71 is in place to allow for easy no compensation bans.  It requires no votes, no stress and no fanfare.  There is no reason to work with other parties to reach a consensus.  OIC is by decree.  It keeps the vague promise of "getting rid of assault weapons".

I am still using sources and methods to determine what this list is.


Most Dangerous COA - Legislative Change

The Liberals pass a law to amend the firearms act to make all center-fire semi-auto rifles prohibited.
This will capture all future sporting firearms and kill the innovation that Canadian firearms businesses are known for.  Industry can not come up with new designs to fill the demand for sporting arms under this COA.
This COA represents the death of the firearms industry.
This COA is least likely because they need to change the law.  After Gun Organizations parade out wood stocked BARs and M1A1s - not assault rifle looking - they will have major resistance.  I think their consultants know this too.


COAs are not exclusive; they may opt to attack on two fronts and do both.  Attack with OICs in the first wave to take most firearm owners out of the game and then try legislative change.  Or they may go for legislative change and use OIC as a fall back should it fail.

You Are Raising a Pussy

I was out with my son and he had his toy MP5K. "MP5 goes bang bang bang!" He yelled.
"I shoot bad guys!"

I got into a discussion with a liberal fart sucker who told me her son was not allowed to play guns.

When boys play with guns they are not playing "School Shooting" or "Assassinate the President" they are casting themselves into the heroic role of good guy who goes out and fights evil. In essence they are establishing the mindset of self empowerment, that they have the power to make the world a better place through their efforts.

Parents who do not let their kids play in a way that affirms their ability to do the right thing (standing up for others, being brave in the face of adversity) run the real risk of having a dis-empowered, disenfranchised child with no sense of duty, honor or community.  And those are the children that grow up and play "School Shooting" for real.